Comparative Analysis of Number of <nobr>Vote-By-Ballots</nobr> Returned (Voted) As Of Roughly <nobr>April 1</nobr> By Council District

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Countdown Clocks

(April 3, 2014, 7:33 a.m.) -- LBREPORT.com has obtained data below indicating the number of vote-by-mail (VBM) ballots returned (voted) as of roughly Tuesday April 1 which we have compared to the number of VBM ballots returned (voted) by election day in the last citywide election (April 13, 2010).

LBREPORT.com has previously reported, and includes below, a comparison of the number of registered voters by Council districts as of Mar. 6. 2014 [the most recent figure available via the City Clerk's website] with the number of registered voters in the April 13, 2010 citywide election. [Voter registration data from April 2010 (when odd-numbered Council districts last voted individually) is available on the City Clerk's website, but data for the even numbered districts is a bit harder to find (since even numbered districts didn't have Council elections in 2010); accordingly, we used 2011 voter regstration data which we had in our archives.]

LBREPORT.com obtained the data on VBM ballots returned in the current election cycle via an election strategist who has multiple candidates running for different offices in this election cycle.

As indicated below:

The 3rd and 5th Council districts continue to eclipse all others in terms of vote by mail ballots returned. However, that diffrence has been narrowed somewhat in the 1st Council district...where (as previously reported by LBREPORT.com) over 7,000 new voters are now on the voter rolls (a roughly 60% increase) since the last citywide election on April 13, 2010. Other Council districts had more modest increases in registered voters (ranging from 8.8% to 21.7%) during this period.
As of April 1, 2014 the number of vote by mail ballots returned in the 1st Council district amounts to almost the total number of vote by mail ballots cast in the 1st Council district in the April 13, 2010 election.
Roughly 40% of 1st district vote by mail voters, and a little over 40% of 2nd and 6th district vote by mail voters who have thus far returned ballots in the current election cycle voted in 2010. Those percentages range from 51.5% in the 4th Council district to 64.6% in the 5th district.

The impacts of these changes, plus events in the coming days and "get out the vote" actions on election day, will be seen after 8 p.m. on April 8 when ballots are tallied. LBREPORT.com will provide LIVE results on our front page.

Dist.	VBM ballots returned by 4/1/14	VBM ballots returned from those who voted 4/13/10	Total VBM ballots cast in 2010	% of VBM ballots returned 4/1/14 vs. total VBM ballots cast 2010	Reg'd voters 2010/2014 (odd) or 2011 (even)
1	971	396 (40.7%)	1,024	94.8%	14,070/22,585 (+60.5%)
2	1,504	667 (44.3%)	--	--	24/484/29.795 (+21.7%)
3	3,697	2,341 (63.3%)	5,402	68.4%	32,764/37,823 (+8.8%)
4	1,574	810 (51.4%)	--	--	23,903/27,466 (+14.9%)
5	3,225	2,084 (64.6%)	4,761	67.7%	33,416/36,343 (+8.8%)
6	765	333 (43.5%)	--	--	17,191/21,908 (+27.4%)
7	1,989	1,229 (61.7%)	2,813	70.7%	25,281/30,857 (+22%)
8	1,522	811 (58.1%)	--	--	24/593/27,935 (+13.6%)
9	891	518 (58.1%)	1,696	52.5%	20/573/25,422 (+23.5%)