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    News

    LB Falls Further Toward Unsafe In Morgan Quitno's Latest Rank of Safest U.S. Cities; LB Now Ranked Less Safe Than New York City

    Lakewood improves safety rank


    (December 22, 2001) -- Applying FBI crime data for the last full year available (2000), a national publisher's eighth annual list of America's Safest Cities shows LB has fallen further toward unsafe, ranking 206 among 327 U.S. cities over 75,000 population.

    Last year, the annual report by Morgan Quitno Press (using officially reported crime data and a methodology detailed below) ranked LB 199. This year, the data showed LB at 206, less safe than New York City at 195.

    LB's decline coincides with improvements in other cities. Adjoining Lakewood improved its safety rank to 118. Last year, it was 124.

    As previously reported by LBReport.com, LBPD crime stats indicate total reported crime has increased in every Council district in the January-June 2001 period (compared to the same period in 2000). That means LB's ranking may be even lower when the 2001 data are reported one year from now.

    Morgan Quitno Press, a Kansas-based publishing and research company, used final 2000 FBI statistics (released in Oct. 2001, the last full year available) to determine its most recent city safety rankings.

    Morgan Quitno ranked U.S. cities based on each city’s officially reported rate for six basic crime categories: murder, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary and motor vehicle theft. All cities of 75,000+ populations reporting crime data to the FBI for the six crime categories were included and each of the six crimes were given equal weight.

    Amherst, NY was ranked as the nation's safest city; Mission Viejo, CA was third.

    Among local area cities ranked safer than LB (206) were Thousand Oaks (13), Irvine (17), Huntington Beach (21), Newport Beach (25), Orange (41), Whittier (47), Burbank (55), Costa Mesa (58), Fullerton (59), Torrance (67), Buena Park (79), Westminster (95), Garden Grove (101), Anaheim (107), Lakewood (118), San Diego (141), Norwalk (141), Santa Monica (147), Santa Ana (148), El Monte (175)

    New York City (195) ranked safer than LB.

    Cities ranking less safe than LB (206) included San Francisco (212), Southgate (213), Carson (224) and Los Angeles (263).

    Morgan-Quitno used city and metro area crime rates per 100,000 population (from the most recent comparable final numbers available, the FBI's 2000 annual statistics released in October 2001) for the six basic crime categories (murder, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary and motor vehicle theft). These were plugged into a formula that measured how a particular city or metro area compared to the national average for a given crime category.

    The outcome of this equation was multiplied by a weight assigned to each of the six crime categories with each of the six crimes given equal weight. By weighting each crime equally, cities are compared based purely on their crime rates and how they stack up to the national average for a particular crime category.

    These weighted numbers were then added together for a city or metro area’s final score. These scores were then ranked from lowest to highest to determine which cities were safest and most dangerous.

    Morgan Quitno says the methodology results in fairer treatment because a city or metro area’s crime record is measured against the national average.

    Since LB's 206 ranking is a citywide figure, it includes ELB, much of which adjoins Lakewood and likely mirrors its crime rate. As previously reported by LBReport.com, ELB's 5th Council district had the lowest number of total reported crimes in the most recent LBPD mid year crime stats.

    That means residents and businesses in other parts of LB may experience crime rates higher than LB's overall 206 ranking suggests.

    In previous years, some LB city officials have tried to compare LB only to cities between 400,000 and 500,000 population, portraying LB as the nation's second safest city within this narrow range.

    This is despite the fact Morgan Quitno's methodology indicates it is appropriate to compare cities of different sizes by using officially reported FBI crime data and deriving each city's individual crime rate per population (so statistically, city size shouldn't matter).

    The contention that it's unfair to compare LB to neighboring smaller cities has also been undercut by data showing that a number of cities larger than LB -- including New York City -- rank safer than LB.

    [LBReport.com comment: Since LB competes with neighboring cities to attract businesses and families, comparing LB to smaller neighboring cities is clearly appropriate. If LB City Hall itself claims smaller cities are safer, it is inviting ELB to follow the San Fernando Valley and San Pedro into independent cityhood (or alternatively joining with Lakewood).]

    When compared only to cities between 400,000-500,000 population, LB ranks second (206) to Virginia Beach (49). However, there is a significant statistical difference between the two cities

    The rankings show whether a city is above or below the national average crime rate in the six crimes reviewed. A negative score shows the city's average rate in these crimes is below the national rate. A positive score indicates a city's average rate in these crimes is higher than the national rate.

    Virginia Beach had a negative (safer) score, better than the national rate in the six crimes analyzed (-44.36). In contrast, LB had a poorer (less safe) score, higher (i.e. worse) the national rate in the six crimes analyzed of +52.40.

    Within the narrow 400,000-500,000 population limit previously used by City Hall, LB ranked safer than Sacramento (235), Fresno (243) and five other out of state cities.

    Morgan Quitno's data are based on 2000 data (2001 data won't be released until fall 2002). Readers interested in more recent and detailed 2001 LB crime data can access this information on LBReport.com. Simply click on: LB crime data.

    Below are data for CA and selected cities from Morgan Quitno's ranking of safest U.S. cities. A score of 0.00 would indicate an average crime rate at the national rate in the six crimes reviewed (murder, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary and motor vehicle theft). A negative score, shown in parentheses, reflects an average rate below the national rate (i.e. better than nat'l average, safer). A positive score reflects an average rate above the national rate (i.e. worse than nat'l average, less safe). Complete chart and other info can be found at Morgan Quitno's web site: www.morganquitno.com.

    Safest Order City Score 2000 Population
    1 Amherst, NY (84.94)       109,574
    3 Mission Viejo, CA (78.83)       100,198
    6 Simi Valley, CA (71.86)       116,751
    7 Sunnyvale, CA (70.60)       130,115
    13 Thousand Oaks, CA (63.09)       121,805
    15 Livermore, CA (62.03)         77,170
    17 Irvine, CA (61.29)       145,873
    21 Huntington Beach, CA (59.98)       203,994
    22 Santa Clara, CA (57.94)       102,241
    23 Santa Clarita, CA (57.65)       136,822
    24 Fremont, CA (57.20)       213,193
    25 Newport Beach, CA (56.76)         75,645
    29 Carlsbad, CA (54.90)         78,884
    36 Redwood City, CA (52.10)         75,994
    39 San Mateo, CA (50.88)         93,811
    41 Orange, CA (49.09)       128,441
    47 Whittier, CA (44.45)         81,790
    49 Virginia Beach, VA (44.36)       446,431
    51 Daly City, CA (43.86)       101,381
    55 Burbank, CA (41.32)       101,210
    58 Costa Mesa, CA (39.22)       106,141
    59 Fullerton, CA (39.14)       125,944
    60 Roseville, CA (38.67)         78,737
    61 Ventura, CA (37.98)       102,347
    67 Torrance, CA (36.30)       142,046
    69 Rancho Cucamon., CA (35.28)       126,436
    72 Alameda, CA (33.57)         77,210
    73 Vacaville, CA (32.98)         88,486
    74 Glendale, CA (32.48)       191,000
    79 Buena Park, CA (29.03)         76,052
    81 Alhambra, CA (27.76)         86,757
    90 San Jose, CA (23.83)       888,632
    94 Santa Barbara, CA (21.47)         88,181
    95 Westminster, CA (21.30)         87,930
    97 Santa Rosa, CA (20.63)       139,899
    98 Corona, CA (19.76)       122,215
    101 Garden Grove, CA (14.03)       156,899
    106 Concord, CA (12.68)       120,475
    107 Anaheim, CA (11.91)       307,240
    110 West Covina, CA (9.37)       102,300
    112 Pasadena, CA (9.28)       138,672
    114 Downey, CA (7.05)         96,530
    118 Lakewood, CA (5.59)         78,768
    121 Oceanside, CA (4.01)       159,969
    123 Antioch, CA (3.50)         85,882
    125 Fairfield, CA (2.48)         94,278
    128 Escondido, CA (0.71)       125,230
    131 Vista, CA 1.48         83,898
    132 Modesto, CA 1.53       192,379
    133 Oxnard, CA 1.74       159,800
    137 Bakersfield, CA 3.03       227,226
    141 Chula Vista, CA 6.02       168,529
    141 San Diego, CA 6.02    1,266,132
    145 Norwalk, CA 8.07       100,480
    147 Santa Monica, CA 11.19         93,081
    148 Santa Ana, CA 11.68       316,070
    149 Moreno Valley, CA 11.75       152,159
    151 Redding, CA 13.26         81,490
    155 El Cajon, CA 14.23         96,651
    166 Palmdale, CA 22.72       113,711
    171 San Leandro, CA 25.29         76,730
    172 Lancaster, CA 26.70       126,679
    173 Hayward, CA 26.94       133,926
    175 El Monte, CA 29.03       115,359
    181 Riverside, CA 31.27       271,545
    185 Visalia, CA 33.67         93,773
    187 Berkeley, CA 38.93       110,693
    195 New York, NY 42.42    7,746,511
    197 Rialto, CA 44.31         87,309
    206 Long Beach, CA 52.40       444,563
    212 San Francisco, CA 56.07       763,146
    213 South Gate, CA 56.22         90,906
    215 Ontario, CA 58.54       151,931
    218 Fontana, CA 59.26       117,400
    224 Carson, CA 68.33         91,042
    229 Pomona, CA 72.59       140,646
    230 Salinas, CA 73.94       126,316
    235 Sacramento, CA 77.57       415,818
    243 Fresno, CA 84.88       413,000
    253 Vallejo, CA 92.44       116,707
    260 Stockton, CA 101.73       250,391
    263 Los Angeles, CA 105.95    3,713,238
    268 Hawthorne, CA 110.38         75,813
    276 San Bernardino, CA 118.53       193,065
    277 Inglewood, CA 119.98       116,097
    300 Oakland, CA 180.27       373,215
    319 Compton, CA 242.54         94,900
    327 Detroit, MI 373.28       972,390


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    Safest City rankings copyright © 2001 Morgan Quitno Corporation. All rights reserved. Other content copyright © 2001 LBReport.com, LLC. All rights reserved.